IEA forecast goes up against all odds

The first forecast for the 2008/09 orange crop from Sao Paulo state published by the Institute of Agricultural Economy (IEA in Portuguese) has contradicted what growers and even citrus plants were predicting. According to the IEA, the production could increase 0.66 percent this year compared to the previous crop, totaling 368.2 million boxes of 40.8 kilos. Market agents, however, expected reduction due to adverse weather conditions, especially during the blooming season (between August and October).

Concerning the market pace, the cold weather keeps limiting trades. At the same time, lower temperatures normally help improve fruits quality. On May 15th, the pera orange averaged 11.81 reals or 7.11 dollars per box of 40.8 kilos, in tree, decreasing 7 percent over April 30th. (Cepea - Brazil)

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