Cepea, April 16, 2021 – During this harvesting period in Florida, the orange production in the 2020/21 season was revised downwards because of climate conditions (the weather is drier than usual and temperatures are high). Thus, the volume is likely to be one of the lowest in the recent history.
The USDA indicated on April 9 that the orange harvest in Florida may total only 51.7 million 40.8-kilo boxes, 23% down compared to the crop before (2019/20) and almost 7% below that projected in March. In recent years, the 2017/18 season, which was affected by hurricane Irma, is the only that registered a smaller production compared to the current one.
Fruit droppage and a reduction of the fruit size explain the lower production. Although the weather influences this scenario, droppage and smaller fruit size are the main symptoms of greening, a disease that reaches practically 100% of trees in Florida.
The low production estimate in the 2020/21 season in Florida, in turn, may reduce the juice supply in the United States. As a result, the need to import is likely to increase. This scenario may favor Brazilian orange juice shipments. It is important to mention that Brazil is the major supplier of this commodity to the US.
2020/21 CROPS IN SP AND TRIÂNGULO MINEIRO – Fundecitrus released on April 12 that the orange production in the citrus belt (São Paulo and Triângulo Mineiro) totaled 268.63 million 40.8-kilo boxes, downing 30.55% compared to the harvest in 2019/20. This is the most significant decrease registered since the beginning of the historical series, in 1988. The lack of rainfall throughout the crop (from May/20 to March/21) explains the decrease.